Mathieu Scaglia vs Pavel LagutinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mathieu Scaglia and Pavel Lagutin have met 1 time since 2026; Pavel Lagutin leads 1–0. Across all meetings Scaglia has taken 1 sets to Lagutin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Pavel Lagutin won at M25 Idanha-a-Nova (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Scaglia | Lagutin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mathieu Scaglia | Pavel Lagutin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 11/20 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 14/37 | 20% | 10/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 3/12 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 88% | 30/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Scaglia 0, Lagutin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Scaglia
🧱 The Wall
Lagutin
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 53% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pavel Lagutin.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
M25 Idanha-a-Nova
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Scaglia | Lagutin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mathieu Scaglia | Pavel Lagutin | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 74% | 14/19 |
| 3 or more | 59% | 10/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Scaglia | Lagutin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 17–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.17 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +20.4% | +12.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.46u | +2.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Scaglia | Lagutin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → FRA | ESP → POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Lagutin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Scaglia's 50%).
| Opponent | Scaglia | Lagutin |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Casas Blasi | W 67 63 62 | W 61 63 |
| Benjamin Pietri | L 46 46 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pierre Delage
M15 Cap d'Agde · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jaume Casas Blasi
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Jaume Casas Blasi
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Pavel Lagutin
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Abdulhamid Mubarak
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maxwell Mckennon
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Pablo Perez Navarro
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Final
Aug 23
Rodrigo Fernandes
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Semifinals
Aug 22
Mathieu Scaglia
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Tiago Silva
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Benjamin Pietri
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 18
Philip Henning
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Rodrigo Fernandes
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Eric Vanshelboim
M15 Xativa · Semifinals
Aug 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–50 matches
| Metric | Scaglia | Lagutin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 66% |
| Sets won | 51% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Scaglia | Lagutin |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Scaglia | Lagutin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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