Mathieu Scaglia vs Maxwell MckennonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mathieu Scaglia and Maxwell Mckennon have met 1 time since 2026; Mathieu Scaglia leads 1–0. Across all meetings Scaglia has taken 2 sets to Mckennon's 1. Their most recent meeting: Mathieu Scaglia won at M25 Idanha-a-Nova (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Scaglia | Mckennon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mathieu Scaglia | Maxwell Mckennon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 12/24 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 18/43 | 19% | 12/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 4/15 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 13/23 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 85% | 34/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 78% | 31/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Scaglia 0, Mckennon 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Scaglia
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mckennon
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
M25 Idanha-a-Nova
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Scaglia | Mckennon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mathieu Scaglia | Maxwell Mckennon | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Scaglia | Mckennon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | +3.8% | -72.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.64u | -5.77u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Scaglia and Mckennon posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Scaglia | Mckennon |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Casas Blasi | W 67 63 62 | W 75 76 |
| Izan Almazan Valiente | L 36 16 | L 36 67 |
| Aziz Ouakaa | L 06 26 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Finn Murgett
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Henri Haupt
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lucca Liu
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Robin Bertrand
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
Cassis Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Amit Vales
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Pierre Delage
M15 Cap d'Agde · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jaume Casas Blasi
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Mathieu Scaglia
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Izan Almazan Valiente
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Colin Sinclair
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Togan Tokac
Samsun Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Samim Filiz
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Aziz Ouakaa
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Pablo Perez Ramos
M15 Castelo Branco · Semifinals
Jul 18
Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Castelo Branco · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–63 matches
| Metric | Scaglia | Mckennon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 54% |
| Sets won | 52% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Scaglia | Mckennon |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Scaglia | Mckennon |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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