Matej Dodig vs Pedro MartinezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Maia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 ยท 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.77 or longer, Pedro Martinez has won 18 of 63 (29%). The price implied 26%, so Pedro Martinez has beaten it by 3 points.
At 1.32 or shorter, Matej Dodig has won 21 of 23 (91%). The price implied 75%, so Matej Dodig has beaten it by 16 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Matej Dodig meets Pedro Martinez in the first round of the Maia Challenger on clay on October 13. The Austrian ranks 174th on tour while Martinez sits at 130th. Dodig arrives with momentum after five consecutive wins and four matches in the past two weeks, while Martinez comes off a loss and carries a 50% record on clay over his recent sample.
The two have never faced each other. Their paths against common opponents paint a split picture. Dodig defeated Hugo Dellien and Henri Squire but fell to August Holmgren, Carlos Sanchez Jover, and Pablo Carreno Busta. Martinez beat Holmgren, Sanchez Jover, and Carreno Busta while losing to Dellien and Squire.
Dodig is a big hitter who has won 17 of 20 on clay recently and comes in sharp after five straight wins. Martinez operates as a counterpuncher sitting at 10-10 on the surface but with steadier form over his last ten matches, winning 7. The match will hinge on whether Dodig's current serve and aggressive baseline game can cut through Martinez's reactive defense, or whether Martinez can absorb pace and find openings on the clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dodig | Martinez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matej Dodig | Pedro Martinez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 24/42 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 31% | 11/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 28/65 | 28% | 19/67 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 19/41 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 18/24 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 16/30 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 32/36 | 86% | 25/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 24/36 | 79% | 23/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dodig
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Martinez
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Dodig and Martinez have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dodig | Martinez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matej Dodig | Pedro Martinez | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 48% | 10/21 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 11/20 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Dodig | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17โ5 | 14โ9 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +11.6% | +2.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.54u | +0.57u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dodig | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 6,897 mi ยท 11,100 km |
| Route | ITA | ITA โ ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Martinez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Dodig's 50%).
| Opponent | Dodig | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| August Holmgren | L 67 63 36 | W 26 76 75 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 57 64 26 | L 46 26 |
| Hugo Dellien | W | L 16 46 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 63 46 64 | W 63 62 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 46 26 | W |
| Henri Squire | W 64 36 63 | L 67 46 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | W 36 76 76 | W 62 75 |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | L 46 46 | W 63 62 |
| Arthur Fery | W 75 63 | W 76 46 63 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L 46 26 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger ยท Final
Oct 11
Lukas Neumayer
Braga Challenger ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Marvin Moeller
Braga Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Miguel Damas
Braga Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Andrea Pellegrino
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexander Zverev
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO ยท Rubber 1
Sep 19
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Enrico Dalla Valle
Genoa Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Laslo Djere
Villena Challenger ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Villena Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Daniel Rincon
Villena Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
August Holmgren
Villena Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Eduardo Ribeiro
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger ยท Final
Sep 13
Laslo Djere
Genoa Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 65โ68 matches
| Metric | Dodig | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 46% |
| Sets won | 59% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
