Head-to-Head

Matej Dodig vs Mili PoljicakPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇭🇷Matej Dodig

#249 · 21 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

🇭🇷Mili Poljicak

#263 · 22 yrs · R

3Beat 3 favorites

Upcoming match

Tournament: Como Challenger
Level: ATP Challenger Tour
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Clay
Date & time: August 31 · 7:00 AM ET

Book odds

Matej Dodig1.591.55

Mili Poljicak2.292.37

Set spread

Dodig -1.52.40

Poljicak +1.51.51

Game spread

Dodig -2.51.89

Poljicak +2.51.83

DodigClay-court specialist (72%)PoljicakClay-court specialist (77%)

Record at prices like this

Matej Dodig1.5560% fairWon 73%

Priced around 1.55 or shorter, Matej Dodig has won 22 of 30 matches, 73% against a fair-price expectation of 67%.

Mili Poljicak2.3740% fairWon 29%

Priced around 2.37 or longer, Mili Poljicak has won 7 of 24 matches, 29% against a fair-price expectation of 34%.

Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.

Matej Dodig and Mili Poljicak meet next at the Como Challenger on August 31 on clay.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Dodig	Poljicak
Indicator	Matej Dodig		Mili Poljicak
Wins in straight sets	58%	18/31	71%	27/38
Wins a set when losing	42%	10/24	35%	7/20
Goes to a deciding set	42%	23/55	31%	18/58
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	39%	11/28	55%	23/42
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	74%	20/27	71%	10/14
Tiebreak sets won	50%	11/22	50%	9/18
Wins after taking set 1	83%	25/30	89%	34/38
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	60%	18/30	71%	27/38

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Dodig

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Poljicak

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Dodig and Poljicak have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Dodig	Poljicak
Outcome	Matej Dodig		Mili Poljicak
1 or more	100%	13/13	100%	12/12
3 or more	100%	13/13	100%	12/12
5 or more	69%	9/13	75%	9/12
10 or more	23%	3/13	17%	2/12
15 or more	8%	1/13	8%	1/12
20 or more	0%	0/13	0%	0/12

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Dodig	Poljicak
W-L	8–7	7–7
Avg odds	1.95	1.89
ROI %	-7.3%	-15.5%
Units P/L	-1.10u	-2.17u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Dodig	Poljicak
Countries	1	3
Events	2	3
Matches	5	5
Distance	185 mi · 297 km	—
Route	GER	SMR → SLO → GER

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Dodig has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Poljicak's 50%).

Opponent	Dodig	Poljicak
Denis Yevseyev	W 63 61	W 75 61
Lorenzo Giustino	L 64 57 67	W 62 36 62
Stefano Travaglia	W 75 63	L 57 57
Henri Squire	W 64 36 63	W 64 63
Sumit Nagal	W 62 64	L 46 63 57
Duje Ajdukovic	W 63 63	L 61 26 36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Dodig

LWWLWLLW

Marvin Moeller

Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals

Aug 15

Rudolf Molleker

Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round

Aug 13

Denis Yevseyev

Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 11

Lorenzo Giustino

Hagen Challenger · 2nd Round

6⁴7

Aug 6

Stefano Travaglia

Hagen Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 4

Pablo Carreno Busta

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round

Jul 14

Hugo Dellien

Trieste Challenger · Final

Jul 12

Henri Squire

Trieste Challenger · Semifinals

Jul 11

Poljicak

LLWLWWWW

Max Schoenhaus

Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 24

Sebastian Dominko

M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round

6⁶7

Aug 20

Vaal Urankar

M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round

Aug 18

Facundo Diaz Acosta

San Marino Challenger · Final

Aug 2

Juan Pablo Varillas

San Marino Challenger · Semifinals

Aug 1

Alexandre Muller

San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals

76³

6⁴7

Jul 31

Nikoloz Basilashvili

San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round

6⁸7

Jul 29

Enrico Dalla Valle

San Marino Challenger · 1st Round

76⁶

76²

Jul 28

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–58 matches

Metric	Dodig	Poljicak
Matches won	56%	66%
Sets won	54%	62%
Games won	51%	54%