Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Matsuyama Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 8 · 8:10 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.39 or shorter, Masamichi Imamura has won 23 of 29 (79%). The price implied 74%, so Masamichi Imamura has beaten it by 5 points.
At 2.78 or longer, Ryuki Matsuda has won 6 of 32 (19%). The price implied 25%, so Ryuki Matsuda has fallen 6 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Masamichi Imamura and Ryuki Matsuda meet in the third round of qualifying at the Matsuyama Challenger on hard court. Imamura, ranked 437th, has played six matches in the last two weeks and arrives with one consecutive win. Matsuda sits at 646th and comes in on a single victory after two matches over the same span.
The two have never faced each other. Imamura has won three of their four common opponents, including Yusuke Takahashi and a player in the qualifying draw, but lost to Kosuke Ogura. Matsuda defeated Ogura in that same stretch while falling to Takahashi and the unnamed qualifier.
Both players operate as counterpunchers who thrive on reaction and ball control from the baseline. Imamura's recent hard court record shows 9 wins in 20 matches at 45%, while Matsuda holds 12 wins in 20 at 60% on the surface. Imamura has ridden momentum into this round after four wins in five matches; Matsuda must sustain consistency at a steadier clip after splitting his last ten outings. The match will turn on which player can establish rhythm while managing the other's defensive positioning.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Imamura | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Masamichi Imamura | Ryuki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 36/47 | 77% | 27/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 8/35 | 20% | 7/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 19/82 | 21% | 15/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 25/45 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 13/32 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 41/44 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 36/44 | 87% | 27/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Imamura
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matsuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Masamichi Imamura and Ryuki Matsuda are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,176 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Imamura and Matsuda have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Imamura | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Masamichi Imamura | Ryuki Matsuda | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 15/19 | 92% | 22/24 |
| 3 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 42% | 10/24 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 13% | 3/24 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Imamura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–11 | 15–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 2.24 |
| ROI % | -27.2% | +38.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.90u | +9.31u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Imamura has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Matsuda's 60%).
| Opponent | Imamura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Kazushi | W 63 62 | L 57 76 46 |
| Taisei Ichikawa | W 63 67 75 | W 63 62 |
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Yanki Erel | W | W 64 64 |
| Kosuke Ogura | L 46 16 | W 75 75 |
| Naoki Nakagawa | L 46 46 | L 36 67 |
| Hyeon Chung | W 36 60 102 | W 63 76 |
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | L 16 16 | L 36 26 |
| Omar Jasika | W 76 16 63 | W 67 63 104 |
| Sanhui Shin | W 64 61 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kazushi
Matsuyama Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 8
Yosuke Watanuki
Taipei Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 5
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Taipei Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 3
Yanki Erel
Taipei Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Nov 2
Luca Staeheli
Taipei Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 1
Tristan Schoolkate
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Saba Purtseladze
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Kaichi Uchida
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Taisei Ichikawa
Matsuyama Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 8
Naoya Honda
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Digvijaypratap Singh
M25 Mumbai · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Pawit Sornlaksup
M25 Mumbai · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Mukund Sasikumar
M25 Mumbai · 1st Round
Oct 21
Maan Kesarwani
M25 Solapur · 1st Round
Oct 13
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Sergey Betov
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–82 matches
| Metric | Imamura | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 50% |
| Sets won | 56% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |