Marvin Moeller vs Stefano TravagliaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marvin Moeller and Stefano Travaglia have met 1 time since 2026; Marvin Moeller leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moeller has taken 2 sets to Travaglia's 1. Their most recent meeting: Marvin Moeller won at Genoa 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moeller | Travaglia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marvin Moeller | Stefano Travaglia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 37/55 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 27/83 | 36% | 22/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 19/29 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 47/53 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 37/53 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moeller 0, Travaglia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Travaglia
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefano Travaglia.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 22, 2026
Genoa 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moeller | Travaglia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marvin Moeller | Stefano Travaglia | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moeller | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–7 | 1–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | +12.7% | -79.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.54u | -6.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moeller | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 673 mi · 1,083 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL → ITA | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moeller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Travaglia's 33%).
| Opponent | Moeller | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Matej Dodig | L 26 36 | L 57 36 |
| Luka Mikrut | L 36 63 67 | W 75 76 |
| Federico Arnaboldi | W 64 64 | W 63 63 |
| Harry Wendelken | L 26 67 | L 46 63 36 |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | L 36 46 | L 67 16 |
| Raul Brancaccio | W 57 76 76 | W 62 62 |
| Max Hans Rehberg | W 63 64 | L 36 16 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W | L 67 26 |
| Andrea Guerrieri | L 36 57 | L 67 62 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tiago Torres
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Luka Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Dali Blanch
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Federico Arnaboldi
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Stefano Travaglia
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marvin Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Thiago Monteiro
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Enrico Dalla Valle
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Stefano Napolitano
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Matej Dodig
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Max Hans Rehberg
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–83 matches
| Metric | Moeller | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 56% |
| Sets won | 62% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moeller | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moeller | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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