Marvin Moeller vs Rodrigo LealPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marvin Moeller and Rodrigo Leal have met 1 time since 2025; Marvin Moeller leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moeller has taken 2 sets to Leal's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marvin Moeller won at M25 Vale do Lobo 3 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moeller | Leal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marvin Moeller | Rodrigo Leal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 39/56 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 0% | 0/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 25/86 | 0% | 0/9 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 19/31 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 48/54 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 39/54 | 100% | 2/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moeller 1, Leal 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 19, 2025
M25 Vale do Lobo 3
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moeller | Leal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marvin Moeller | Rodrigo Leal | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 20/24 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 13/24 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 2/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moeller | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–6 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 3.75 |
| ROI % | +21.1% | -29.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.71u | -1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moeller | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | 741 mi · 1,192 km | — |
| Route | GER → SUI → GER | POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Moeller and Leal posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Moeller | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| David Tixhon | W 60 62 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Matias Soto
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Thomas Faurel
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Matej Dodig
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Niels McDonald
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Raul Brancaccio
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tiago Pereira
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Salvador Monteiro
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Figueira da Foz · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Joao Portugal
M25 Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tiago Pereira
M25 Loule · 2nd Round
May 7
Matisse Bobichon
M25 Loule · 1st Round
May 6
Patrick Schoen
M25 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Apr 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–86 matches
| Metric | Moeller | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 22% |
| Sets won | 61% | 22% |
| Games won | 54% | 39% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moeller | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moeller | Leal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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