Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai BarsukovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marvin Moeller and Nikolai Barsukov have met 1 time since 2025; Marvin Moeller leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moeller has taken 2 sets to Barsukov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Marvin Moeller won at Hamburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moeller | Barsukov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marvin Moeller | Nikolai Barsukov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 37/55 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 31% | 12/39 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 27/83 | 35% | 25/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 39% | 15/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 19/29 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 47/53 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 37/53 | 61% | 20/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moeller 0, Barsukov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Barsukov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 20, 2025
Hamburg
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moeller | Barsukov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marvin Moeller | Nikolai Barsukov | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 74% | 14/19 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moeller | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–7 | 11–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | +12.7% | +2.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.54u | +0.56u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moeller | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 673 mi · 1,083 km | — |
| Route | POL → ITA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Barsukov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Moeller's 50%).
| Opponent | Moeller | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| Luka Mikrut | L 36 63 67 | W 36 62 76 |
| Radek Chodora | W 62 63 | W 76 76 |
| Niklas Guttau | W 63 61 | L 76 57 36 |
| Mika Petkovic | L 64 46 36 | W 64 67 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tiago Torres
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Luka Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Dali Blanch
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Federico Arnaboldi
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Stefano Travaglia
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Yaojie Zeng
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 6
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Seon Yong Han
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Guiyang · Semifinals
Sep 19
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Guiyang · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Yue Xia
M25 Guiyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Yuquan Jin
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 72–83 matches
| Metric | Moeller | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 46% |
| Sets won | 62% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moeller | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moeller | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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