Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marvin Moeller and Niels McDonald have met 1 time since 2026; Marvin Moeller leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moeller has taken 2 sets to McDonald's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marvin Moeller won at Hamburg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moeller | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marvin Moeller | Niels McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 37/55 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 27/83 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 19/29 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 47/53 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 37/53 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moeller 1, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
McDonald
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
Hamburg Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moeller | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marvin Moeller | Niels McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moeller | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–7 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | +12.7% | -50.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.54u | -5.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moeller | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 673 mi · 1,083 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL → ITA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Moeller and McDonald posted a 57% win rate.
| Opponent | Moeller | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Radek Chodora | W 62 63 | W 62 62 |
| Cezar Cretu | L 46 36 | L 26 06 |
| Mika Petkovic | L 64 46 36 | W 06 64 63 |
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | W 63 64 | W 63 76 |
| Kai Wehnelt | W 62 63 | W 67 63 64 |
| Paul Jubb | L 26 06 | L 63 16 67 |
| Max Wiskandt | W 64 64 | L 57 62 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tiago Torres
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Luka Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Dali Blanch
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Federico Arnaboldi
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Stefano Travaglia
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Jakub Paul
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Niels Visker
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Zaccharie Cado
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Enrico Dalla Valle
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Eduardo Ribeiro
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Mika Petkovic
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–83 matches
| Metric | Moeller | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 51% |
| Sets won | 62% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moeller | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moeller | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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