Marvin Moeller vs Mickael KaoukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marvin Moeller and Mickael Kaouk have met 1 time since 2026; Marvin Moeller leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moeller has taken 2 sets to Kaouk's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marvin Moeller won at Troyes Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moeller | Kaouk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marvin Moeller | Mickael Kaouk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 39/56 | 86% | 12/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 25/86 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 19/31 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 48/54 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 39/54 | 67% | 12/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moeller 1, Kaouk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kaouk
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
Troyes Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moeller | Kaouk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marvin Moeller | Mickael Kaouk | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 20/24 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 13/24 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 2/24 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–6 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | +21.1% | +28.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.71u | +2.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 741 mi · 1,192 km | — |
| Route | GER → SUI → GER | BEL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moeller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Kaouk's 22%).
| Opponent | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Faurel | W 61 63 | L 64 06 46 |
| David Tixhon | W 60 62 | W 62 62 |
| Matteo Martineau | L 36 16 | L 76 46 26 |
| Loann Massard | L 64 36 36 | L 36 57 |
| Anton Matusevich | W 64 76 | L 36 63 26 |
| Arthur Nagel | W 16 76 76 | L 36 64 67 |
| Mae Malige | W 62 64 | L 36 36 |
| Max Wiskandt | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Robert Strombachs | W 67 62 63 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Matias Soto
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Thomas Faurel
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Matej Dodig
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Niels McDonald
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Raul Brancaccio
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Justas Trainauskas
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 11
Marvin Moeller
Troyes Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Dali Blanch
Troyes Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Melios Efstathiou
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · Semifinals
Jun 20
Melios Efstathiou
Futures 2026
Jun 20
Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–86 matches
| Metric | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 44% |
| Sets won | 61% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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