Marvin Moeller vs Mickael KaoukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marvin Moeller and Mickael Kaouk have met 1 time since 2026; Marvin Moeller leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moeller has taken 2 sets to Kaouk's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marvin Moeller won at Troyes Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moeller | Kaouk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marvin Moeller | Mickael Kaouk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 37/55 | 94% | 15/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 27/83 | 18% | 6/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 19/29 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 47/53 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 37/53 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moeller 1, Kaouk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kaouk
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marvin Moeller.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
Troyes Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moeller | Kaouk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marvin Moeller | Mickael Kaouk | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +12.7% | -19.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.54u | -1.79u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 673 mi · 1,083 km | 523 mi · 841 km |
| Route | POL → ITA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moeller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Kaouk's 38%).
| Opponent | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Dali Blanch | W 63 46 63 | W 75 36 76 |
| Anton Matusevich | W 64 76 | L 06 36 |
| Thomas Faurel | W 61 63 | L 64 06 46 |
| Radek Chodora | W 62 63 | W 60 60 |
| Matteo Martineau | L 36 16 | L 76 46 26 |
| Mae Malige | W 62 64 | L 36 36 |
| Max Wiskandt | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Robert Strombachs | W 67 62 63 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tiago Torres
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Luka Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Dali Blanch
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Federico Arnaboldi
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Stefano Travaglia
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Norbert Gombos
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Justin Boulais
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Anton Matusevich
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Patrick Zahraj
M25 Plaisir · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Nicolas Ifi
M25 Plaisir · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Matt Ponchet
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round
Sep 8
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–83 matches
| Metric | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 46% |
| Sets won | 62% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moeller | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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