Marvin Moeller vs Matej DodigPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชMarvin Moeller
#239 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2
๐ญ๐ทMatej Dodig
#174 ยท 21 yrs ยท R
5TitleMarvin Moeller and Matej Dodig have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Hamburg Challenger in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Moeller has taken 2 sets to Dodig's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matej Dodig won at Braga Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moeller | Dodig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marvin Moeller | Matej Dodig | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 37/55 | 57% | 24/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 27/83 | 43% | 28/65 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 46% | 19/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 19/29 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 47/53 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 37/53 | 67% | 24/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moeller 1, Dodig 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moeller
๐ช Counterpuncher
Dodig
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2026
Braga Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 15, 2026
Hamburg Challenger
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moeller | Dodig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marvin Moeller | Matej Dodig | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Moeller | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13โ7 | 17โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | +12.7% | +16.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.54u | +3.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moeller | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 673 mi ยท 1,083 km | โ |
| Route | POL โ ITA | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Dodig has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Moeller's 83%).
| Opponent | Moeller | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Stefano Travaglia | W 64 46 62 | W 75 63 |
| Rudolf Molleker | L 62 57 36 | W 64 63 |
| Raul Brancaccio | W 57 76 76 | W 76 61 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | W | W 36 76 76 |
| Michael Vrbensky | W 60 61 | W 64 75 |
| Jamie Mackenzie | W 64 26 62 | W 61 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tiago Torres
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Luka Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Dali Blanch
Genoa 2 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Federico Arnaboldi
Genoa 2 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Stefano Travaglia
Genoa 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger ยท Final
Oct 11
Lukas Neumayer
Braga Challenger ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Marvin Moeller
Braga Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Miguel Damas
Braga Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Andrea Pellegrino
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexander Zverev
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO ยท Rubber 1
Sep 19
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Enrico Dalla Valle
Genoa Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 65โ83 matches
| Metric | Moeller | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 65% |
| Sets won | 62% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moeller | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moeller | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.