Martyna Kubka vs Mia RisticPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 27 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 2.63 or longer, Mia Ristic has won 3 of 16 (19%). The price implied 29%, so Mia Ristic has fallen 10 points short of it.
At 1.43 or shorter, Martyna Kubka has won 14 of 23 (61%). The price implied 73%, so Martyna Kubka has fallen 12 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Martyna Kubka and Mia Ristic meet in the 1st Round of the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open on October 27 on hard court. Kubka ranks 148th; Ristic sits at 182. The two have never faced each other.
Kubka has won three of her last five matches and maintains a 60% win rate over her past ten outings. Ristic has dropped her last two and won only two of her last five; she has played just once in the past two weeks compared to Kubka's four matches in the same span. On hard court, Kubka owns a 70% record with 14 wins in recent play, while Ristic sits at 45% with nine victories against eleven defeats.
Kubka relies on aggressive groundstrokes to dictate points and build pressure from the baseline. Ristic constructs points with all facets of her game, mixing solid technical fundamentals across serve, return, and court positioning. The match will test whether Kubka can sustain her aggressive approach for a full set against Ristic's versatility and tactical range.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kubka | Ristic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Martyna Kubka | Mia Ristic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 37/52 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 24/75 | 31% | 20/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 24/48 | 54% | 21/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 15/21 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 47/53 | 85% | 33/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 37/53 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kubka
💥 Big Hitter
Ristic
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,747 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Kubka and Ristic have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kubka | Ristic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Martyna Kubka | Mia Ristic | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 74% | 14/19 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kubka | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +14.1% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.97u | +0.59u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kubka | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → FRA → TUN | FRA → TUN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Kubka and Ristic posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Kubka | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Mona Barthel | L 57 46 | L 26 26 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | L 16 63 46 | L 46 36 |
| Justina Mikulskyte | W 57 63 63 | W 76 67 63 |
| Darya Astakhova | W 61 62 | W 63 62 |
| Ekaterina Maklakova | W 63 63 | L 16 26 |
| Noma Noha Akugue | L 46 26 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dominika Salkova
RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto · Semifinals
Oct 17
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Teodora Kostovic
RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Alina Charaeva
RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto · 1st Round
Oct 13
Lois Boisson
Adana Open - Adana · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Ksenia Efremova
Adana Open - Adana · 1st Round
Sep 29
Berfu Cengiz
Ankara Open - Ankara · 1st Round
Sep 22
Manon Leonard
W75 Le Neubourg · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Bianca Andreescu
RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto · 1st Round
Oct 13
Jessica Pieri
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Noemi Basiletti
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Arantxa Rus
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mona Barthel
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Martina Colmegna
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Lina Gjorcheska
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–75 matches
| Metric | Kubka | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 59% |
| Sets won | 65% | 59% |
| Games won | 57% | 54% |