Martina Colmegna vs Mia RisticPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 15 · 2:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.91 or longer, Mia Ristic has won 2 of 10 (20%). The price implied 23%, so Mia Ristic has fallen 3 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Martina Colmegna and Mia Ristic meet next at the Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana on September 15 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Colmegna | Ristic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Martina Colmegna | Mia Ristic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 27/32 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 14/55 | 34% | 22/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 16/23 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 13/25 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 30/36 | 83% | 34/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Colmegna
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ristic
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,756 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mia Ristic.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Colmegna and Ristic have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Colmegna | Ristic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Martina Colmegna | Mia Ristic | ||
| 1 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 73% | 16/22 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 18% | 4/22 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 5% | 1/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Colmegna | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | +9.7% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.16u | +1.75u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Colmegna | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → ESP | FRA → NED → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ristic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Colmegna's 33%).
| Opponent | Colmegna | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Nuria Brancaccio | L 26 26 | W 63 63 |
| Jessica Pieri | W 61 63 | W 61 61 |
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | L 46 64 67 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Gabriella Price
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W35 Trieste · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W35 Trieste · 1st Round
Aug 26
Nuria Brancaccio
W75 Cordenons · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Sofia Rocchetti
W75 Cordenons · 1st Round
Jul 21
Barbora Palicova
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 14
Barbora Palicova
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Jenny Lim
W75 The Hague · 1st Round
Jul 8
Lina Gjorcheska
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 7
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Francisca Jorge
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Ayana Akli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Rositsa Dencheva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Final
Aug 16
Matilde Paoletti
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 15
Lisa Zaar
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Zhibek Kulambayeva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–65 matches
| Metric | Colmegna | Ristic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 58% |
| Sets won | 59% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |