Martina Capurro Taborda vs Polona HercogPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Queretaro Open - Queretaro
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 27 · 1:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.22 or shorter, Polona Hercog has won 16 of 17 (94%). The price implied 85%, so Polona Hercog has beaten it by 9 points.
At 3.85 or longer, Martina Capurro Taborda has won 3 of 16 (19%). That is level with the 18% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Polona Hercog meets Martina Capurro Taborda in the first round of the Queretaro Open on October 27. The two have never faced each other. Hercog, ranked 206, has won two of her last five matches but sits on a one-match losing streak. Capurro Taborda ranks 277 and arrives after five straight losses, despite a stronger clay court record over her recent sample.
Clay records tell a different story than current momentum. Capurro Taborda has won 13 of her last 20 clay matches at 65%, while Hercog stands at 9-11 on the surface over her recent sample. Both players lost to Alena Kovackova, but Hercog defeated Luisina Giovannini in a common opponent meeting where Capurro Taborda fell.
Hercog operates as a versatile all-court player with a complete skill set across baseline and serve. Capurro Taborda is a counterpuncher who thrives on reaction and retrieval. The clay surface has treated Capurro Taborda well in recent play, but Hercog's consistency across all shots will test whether Capurro Taborda can break her losing streak with solid court positioning and patience.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Capurro Taborda | Hercog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Martina Capurro Taborda | Polona Hercog | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 30/39 | 67% | 24/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 19/59 | 34% | 20/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 23/33 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 37/39 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 30/39 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Taborda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Hercog
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 8,085 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Polona Hercog.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Taborda and Hercog have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Taborda | Hercog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Martina Capurro Taborda | Polona Hercog | ||
| 1 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Taborda | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–5 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -78.7% | -35.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.72u | -3.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Taborda | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 4 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | UKR → TUN → HUN → SVK | ECU → AUT → SUI → SVK |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hercog has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Taborda's 0%).
| Opponent | Taborda | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Alena Kovackova | L 26 36 | L 46 36 |
| Luisina Giovannini | L 46 57 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elizabeth Mandlik
W50 Austin · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Kristina Penickova
W100 Edmond · 1st Round
Oct 13
Jane Dunyon
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Chloe Paquet
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Victoria Luiza Barros
W35 Barueri · 2nd Round
Aug 28
Maayan Laron
W35 Barueri · 1st Round
Aug 26
Daria Egorova
W75 Vacaria · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Berta Bonardi
W75 Vacaria · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Jazmin Ortenzi
Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon · 2nd Round
Oct 14
Madalena Matias
Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon · 1st Round
Oct 13
Alena Kovackova
W50 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lisa Pigato
W75 Quinta do Lago · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Naiktha Bains
W75 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Ayana Akli
W75 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Sep 30
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–60 matches
| Metric | Taborda | Hercog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 62% |
| Sets won | 64% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 55% |