Martin Van Der Meerschen vs Ryan NijboerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Madrid
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- Final
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 6 · 4:30 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.38 or shorter, Ryan Nijboer has won 22 of 35 (63%). The price implied 74%, so Ryan Nijboer has fallen 11 points short of it.
At 2.75 or longer, Martin Van Der Meerschen has won 3 of 13 (23%). The price implied 26%, so Martin Van Der Meerschen has fallen 3 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Ryan Nijboer and Martin Van Der Meerschen meet in the final of the M15 Madrid on clay on September 6. Nijboer, ranked 532, comes in off a four-match winning streak and has played six matches in the last two weeks. Van Der Meerschen, ranked 585, has also won four straight and is riding an 80% win rate over his recent clay sample.
The two players have never faced each other. Nijboer has won four of his last five matches overall, while Van Der Meerschen has maintained an 80% clip across his last ten outings. Both have played common opponents Maik Steiner and Max Houkes recently, with Nijboer defeating both; Van Der Meerschen lost to both.
Nijboer operates as a counterpuncher, thriving on reaction and timing from the baseline. Van Der Meerschen is an aggressive, durable competitor who presses the issue. On clay, Nijboer has posted a 70% record while Van Der Meerschen has won 80% of his matches, suggesting contrasting comfort levels on the slower surface. The final will test whether Nijboer's tactical defense can disrupt Van Der Meerschen's sustained offensive pressure.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Van Der Meerschen | Nijboer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Martin Van Der Meerschen | Ryan Nijboer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 69% | 31/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 4/18 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 14/51 | 37% | 27/73 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 16/24 | 57% | 25/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 12/23 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 86% | 38/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 23/28 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Meerschen
⚔️ The Gladiator
Nijboer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 2,563 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Meerschen and Nijboer have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Meerschen | Nijboer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Martin Van Der Meerschen | Ryan Nijboer | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 9/18 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Meerschen | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 17–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +23.5% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | +4.93u | +2.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Meerschen | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 11 | 9 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BEL → ESP | GER → SUI → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nijboer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Meerschen's 50%).
| Opponent | Meerschen | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Michiel De Krom | W 62 57 63 | W 62 62 |
| Louis-Lou Langenaken | W 63 62 | W 63 76 |
| Max Houkes | L 16 67 | W 63 63 |
| Maik Steiner | L 67 26 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Rodenas
M15 Madrid · Semifinals
Sep 5
Michiel De Krom
M15 Madrid · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Rafael De Alba
M15 Madrid · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Theodore Dean
M15 Madrid · 1st Round
Sep 2
Romain Faucon
M15 Lambermont · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rafael Giotis
M15 Lambermont · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Jesse De Jager
M15 Lambermont · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Louis-Lou Langenaken
M15 Lambermont · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa
M15 Madrid · Semifinals
Sep 5
Bernardo Munk Mesa
M15 Madrid · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M15 Madrid · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mario Arce Fernandez
M15 Madrid · 1st Round
Sep 2
Carles Hernandez
M25 Oviedo · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Tomas Curras Abasolo
M25 Oviedo · 1st Round
Aug 24
Tommaso Compagnucci
Sion Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Murkel Dellien
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–73 matches
| Metric | Meerschen | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 62% |
| Sets won | 60% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |