Martin Damm vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 5 · 3:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.46 or shorter, Martin Damm has won 41 of 55 (75%). The price implied 70%, so Martin Damm has beaten it by 5 points.
At 2.64 or longer, Pavel Kotov has won 19 of 62 (31%). That is level with the 29% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Martin Damm and Pavel Kotov meet next at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai on October 5 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Damm | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Martin Damm | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 32/40 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/66 | 40% | 18/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 15/24 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 22/38 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 34/43 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 32/43 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Damm
🤖 Servebot
Kotov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Martin Damm and Pavel Kotov are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,504 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Damm and Kotov have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Damm | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Martin Damm | Pavel Kotov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Damm | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -16.9% | +7.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.19u | +0.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Damm | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 11 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 2,550 mi · 4,104 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Damm has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kotov's 63%).
| Opponent | Damm | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 61 64 | L 57 36 |
| Elias Ymer | W 63 75 | W 36 63 76 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 76 67 76 76 | L 76 46 26 |
| Gauthier Onclin | W 63 36 64 | W 61 36 64 |
| Keegan Smith | W 61 75 | W 64 64 |
| Matteo Martineau | W 76 64 | W 64 67 76 |
| Remy Bertola | W 75 63 | L 67 57 |
| Dan Martin | W 62 64 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Daniil Medvedev
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Abedallah Shelbayh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luca Castelnuovo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Rio Noguchi
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Akira Santillan
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Shintaro Mochizuki
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–70 matches
| Metric | Damm | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 73% |
| Sets won | 58% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |