Marko Topo vs Petr NesterovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marko Topo and Petr Nesterov have met 1 time since 2026; Petr Nesterov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Topo has taken 0 sets to Nesterov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Petr Nesterov won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Topo | Nesterov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marko Topo | Petr Nesterov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 18/26 | 60% | 41/68 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 18/52 | 41% | 39/95 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 44% | 28/63 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 13/21 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 14/21 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 93% | 54/58 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 71% | 41/58 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Topo 0, Nesterov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Topo
💥 Big Hitter
Nesterov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 28, 2026
Porto Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Topo | Nesterov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marko Topo | Petr Nesterov | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 86% | 18/21 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 62% | 13/21 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Topo | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 15–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -15.2% | +2.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.89u | +0.59u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Topo | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,712 mi · 2,756 km |
| Route | POR | BUL → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nesterov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Topo's 33%).
| Opponent | Topo | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Taberner | L 63 36 36 | L 46 61 06 |
| Alexandre Aubriot | W 62 63 | W 63 26 61 |
| Eero Vasa | L 62 67 36 | W 63 16 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dominic Stricker
Villena Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Niels Visker
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Petr Nesterov
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Kristijan Juhas
M25 Zlatibor · Final
Sep 20
Stefan Popovic
M25 Zlatibor · Quarterfinals
Sep 19
Alexandre Aubriot
M25 Zlatibor · Semifinals
Sep 19
Nikita Bilozertsev
M25 Zlatibor · 2nd Round
Sep 18
Christian Langmo
Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Carles Hernandez
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Hynek Barton
Villena Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Charles Chen
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Goncalo Marques
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Marko Topo
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Giorgio Tabacco
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–95 matches
| Metric | Topo | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 72% |
| Sets won | 51% | 65% |
| Games won | 49% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Topo | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Topo | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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