Marko Mesarovic vs Shu MatsuokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marko Mesarovic and Shu Matsuoka have met 1 time since 2026; Marko Mesarovic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mesarovic has taken 2 sets to Matsuoka's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marko Mesarovic won at M15 Champaign (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mesarovic | Matsuoka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marko Mesarovic | Shu Matsuoka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 10% | 1/10 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 6/26 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 5/9 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 16/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 11/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mesarovic 1, Matsuoka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mesarovic
🏹 Frontrunner
Matsuoka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2026
M15 Champaign
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mesarovic | Matsuoka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marko Mesarovic | Shu Matsuoka | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mesarovic | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Mesarovic and Matsuoka posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Mesarovic | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Pannawat Suttisomboon | W 64 62 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Bonding
M15 Ann Arbor · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Dakotah Bobo
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round
Sep 30
Danil Panarin
M15 Ann Arbor · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Pannawat Suttisomboon
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Zachary Viiala
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 28
Preston Stearns
M15 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Shu Matsuoka
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 25
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Michael Bassem Sobhy
M15 Columbia · 1st Round
Sep 23
Nathan Cox
M15 Columbia · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Alejandro Moreno
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Marko Mesarovic
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tyler Bowers
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Hien Quang Hien Pham
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Saki Tange
M15 Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Junnosuke Masuda
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–26 matches
| Metric | Mesarovic | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 43% |
| Sets won | 57% | 45% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mesarovic | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mesarovic | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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