Marko Mesarovic vs Preston StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marko Mesarovic and Preston Stearns have met 2 times since 2025; Preston Stearns leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Columbus 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Stearns leads 2–0. Stearns has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mesarovic has taken 0 sets to Stearns's 4. Their most recent meeting: Preston Stearns won at M15 Champaign (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mesarovic | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marko Mesarovic | Preston Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 10% | 1/10 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 6/26 | 17% | 2/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 5/9 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 16/17 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 11/17 | 89% | 8/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mesarovic 0, Stearns 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mesarovic
🏹 Frontrunner
Stearns
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2026
M15 Champaign
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 13, 2025
M25 Columbus 1
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mesarovic | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marko Mesarovic | Preston Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mesarovic | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | +5.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | +0.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mesarovic | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Bonding
M15 Ann Arbor · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Dakotah Bobo
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round
Sep 30
Danil Panarin
M15 Ann Arbor · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Pannawat Suttisomboon
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Preston Stearns
M15 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Zachary Viiala
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 28
Shu Matsuoka
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 25
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Quinn Vandecasteele
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Bryce Nakashima
M15 Champaign · Semifinals
Aug 29
Marko Mesarovic
M15 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Joshua Peck
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Joshua Peck
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Noa Vukadin
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 26
Jon Gamble
M15 Champaign · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Emmanuel Alex
M15 Champaign · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–26 matches
| Metric | Mesarovic | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 67% |
| Sets won | 57% | 69% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mesarovic | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mesarovic | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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