Mario Arce Fernandez vs Sander JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mario Arce Fernandez and Sander Jong have met 1 time since 2026; Sander Jong leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 0 sets to Jong's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sander Jong won at M25 Gijon (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arce Fernandez | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mario Arce Fernandez | Sander Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 71% | 30/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/49 | 36% | 23/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 53% | 24/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 87% | 33/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 79% | 30/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arce Fernandez 0, Jong 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🎾 All-Court
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sander Jong.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 9, 2026
M25 Gijon
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mario Arce Fernandez | Sander Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 91% | 20/22 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 46% | 10/22 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 32% | 7/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 5% | 1/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.47 | 1.38 |
| ROI % | +19.3% | +1.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.09u | +0.20u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jong has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Fernandez's 25%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Wagner | W 60 63 | W 36 62 62 |
| Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas | L 61 36 46 | W 61 63 |
| Ryan Nijboer | L 64 26 36 | L 36 16 |
| Volodymyr Iakubenko | L 67 26 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elias Wagner
M15 Monastir · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round
Oct 6
Daniel Batista
M15 Pontevedra · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
David Aguiar Johansson
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Carles Cordoba
M15 Melilla · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Melilla · 1st Round
Sep 16
Sander Jong
M25 Gijon · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Bernardo Munk Mesa
M25 Gijon · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alejandro Moro Canas
M25 Zaragoza · Semifinals
Oct 3
Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Michiel De Krom
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Roberto Perez Socas
M25 Zaragoza · 1st Round
Sep 30
Gerard Campana Lee
M25 Sabadell · Final
Sep 27
Lilian Marmousez
M25 Sabadell · Semifinals
Sep 26
Ioannis Xilas
M25 Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Kuzey Cekirge
M25 Sabadell · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–64 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 66% |
| Sets won | 56% | 63% |
| Games won | 54% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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