Mario Arce Fernandez vs Ryan NijboerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mario Arce Fernandez and Ryan Nijboer have met 1 time since 2026; Ryan Nijboer leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 1 sets to Nijboer's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ryan Nijboer won at M15 Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arce Fernandez | Nijboer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mario Arce Fernandez | Ryan Nijboer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 66% | 37/56 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/49 | 38% | 32/84 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 55% | 30/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 71% | 37/52 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arce Fernandez 0, Nijboer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🎾 All-Court
Nijboer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
M15 Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Nijboer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mario Arce Fernandez | Ryan Nijboer | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 93% | 25/27 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 70% | 19/27 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 33% | 9/27 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 4% | 1/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 20–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.47 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | +19.3% | -0.7% |
| Units P/L | +3.09u | -0.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nijboer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Fernandez's 40%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Wagner | W 60 63 | W 61 61 |
| Carles Cordoba | L 46 06 | L 61 16 67 |
| Sander Jong | L 16 26 | W 63 61 |
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | W 36 60 76 | W 62 46 61 |
| Marcel Zielinski | L 36 36 | L 26 64 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elias Wagner
M15 Monastir · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round
Oct 6
Daniel Batista
M15 Pontevedra · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
David Aguiar Johansson
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Carles Cordoba
M15 Melilla · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Melilla · 1st Round
Sep 16
Sander Jong
M25 Gijon · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Bernardo Munk Mesa
M25 Gijon · 1st Round
Sep 8
Javier Barranco Cosano
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marvin Moeller
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mackenzie McDonald
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Benjamin Hassan
Braga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Nico Hipfl
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Zaragoza · Semifinals
Oct 3
Nicolas Ifi
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Pierre Delage
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–84 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 67% |
| Sets won | 56% | 63% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.