Mariia Tkacheva vs Sara SaitoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Mariia Tkacheva
#721 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Sara Saito
#243 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
4wMariia Tkacheva and Sara Saito have met 1 time since 2026; Mariia Tkacheva leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tkacheva has taken 2 sets to Saito's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mariia Tkacheva won at Philippine Women's Open - Manila (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tkacheva | Saito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariia Tkacheva | Sara Saito | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 12/14 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 6/21 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 5/10 | 44% | 16/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 12/13 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 92% | 12/13 | 76% | 22/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tkacheva 1, Saito 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tkacheva
👑 The Complete Package
Saito
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mariia Tkacheva.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 27, 2026
Philippine Women's Open - Manila
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tkacheva | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -58.4% | -1.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.92u | -0.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tkacheva | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | KAZ → BIH | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Tkacheva and Saito posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Tkacheva | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Sohyun Park | L 62 46 36 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dune Vaissaud
W15 Hurghada · Semifinals
Aug 29
Katarina Kujovic
W15 Hurghada · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Andrea Lola Popovic
W15 Hurghada · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Soha Sadiq
W15 Hurghada · 1st Round
Aug 26
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Aleksandra Khomitskaya
W15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 12
Anastasia Zakharova
Enka Open - Istanbul · 1st Round
Jul 14
Donna Vekic
Philippine Women's Open - Manila · 2nd Round
Jan 28
Kylie Collins
W75 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Erika Sema
W75 Lexington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Luciana Perry
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 22
Kayla Cross
W75 Granby · Final
Jul 19
Cadence Brace
W75 Granby · Quarterfinals
Jul 18
Sakura Hosogi
W75 Granby · Semifinals
Jul 18
Kayo Nishimura
W75 Granby · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–56 matches
| Metric | Tkacheva | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 57% |
| Sets won | 67% | 55% |
| Games won | 60% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tkacheva | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tkacheva | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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