Mariia Masiianskaia vs Matilde PaolettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Mariia Masiianskaia
Unranked · 19 yrs
4w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇮🇹Matilde Paoletti
#879 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Mariia Masiianskaia and Matilde Paoletti have met 1 time since 2026; Mariia Masiianskaia leads 1–0. Across all meetings Masiianskaia has taken 2 sets to Paoletti's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mariia Masiianskaia won at W15 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Masiianskaia | Paoletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariia Masiianskaia | Matilde Paoletti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 5/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 4/18 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 5/24 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 1/3 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 2/6 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 30% | 3/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Masiianskaia 1, Paoletti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Masiianskaia
🏃 Pusher
Paoletti
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 84% vs 🏃 Pusher across 1,548 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matilde Paoletti.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the pusher's extreme retrieval.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
W15 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Masiianskaia | Paoletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariia Masiianskaia | Matilde Paoletti | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Masiianskaia | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 4.29 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +41.1% | -18.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.70u | -1.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Masiianskaia | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER | GER → FRA → POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Masiianskaia and Paoletti posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Masiianskaia | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Mia Ristic | L 06 06 | L 75 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Herazo
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Matilde Paoletti
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 5
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Helena Stevic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 28
Eugenia Menendez Zozaya
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 22
Helena Stevic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 15
Nancy Lee
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jun 17
Gabriela Ce
W35 Trieste · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sophie Triquart
W35 Trieste · 1st Round
Aug 25
Mia Ristic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 15
Rada Zolotareva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Elena Milutinovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Despina Papamichail
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Mariia Masiianskaia
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 5
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W35 Tarvisio · 1st Round
Jun 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–24 matches
| Metric | Masiianskaia | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 50% |
| Sets won | 30% | 52% |
| Games won | 41% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Masiianskaia | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Masiianskaia | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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