Marie Vogt vs Sydney JaraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marie Vogt and Sydney Jara have met 2 times since 2025; Marie Vogt leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at W15 Lima 1 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Vogt leads 2–0. Vogt has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Vogt has taken 4 sets to Jara's 1. Their most recent meeting: Marie Vogt won at W15 Lima 3 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vogt | Jara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marie Vogt | Sydney Jara | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 37/45 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 16/62 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 23/33 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 40/43 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 33% | 1/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vogt 1, Jara 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vogt
👑 The Complete Package
Jara
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marie Vogt.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Dec 18, 2025
W15 Lima 3
C Clay · 2nd Round
Dec 4, 2025
W15 Lima 1
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vogt | Jara |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | - |
| ROI % | -3.2% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vogt | Jara |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pia Lovric
W35 Trieste · 1st Round
Aug 24
Valentina Steiner
W35 Erwitte · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Polina Skliar
W35 Erwitte · 1st Round
Aug 19
Laima Vladson
W50 Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Berfu Cengiz
W50 Hamburg · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W50 Hamburg · 1st Round
Aug 12
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W35 Gentofte · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Ann Akasha Ceuca
W35 Gentofte · 1st Round
Jul 22
Angelina Voloshchuk
W35 Santa Fe · 1st Round
Jul 22
Carolina Bohrer Martins
W15 Palm Coast 1 · 1st Round
Feb 18
Marie Vogt
W15 Lima 3 · 2nd Round
Dec 18
Francesca Maguina Bunikowska
W15 Lima 3 · 1st Round
Dec 17
Najah Dawson
W15 Lima 2 · 2nd Round
Dec 11
Najah Dawson
W15 Lima · Round of 16
Dec 11
Camila Romero
W15 Lima 2 · 1st Round
Dec 9
Marie Vogt
W15 Lima 1 · 2nd Round
Dec 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–62 matches
| Metric | Vogt | Jara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 30% |
| Sets won | 70% | 36% |
| Games won | 59% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vogt | Jara |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vogt | Jara |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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