Marie Vogt vs Merel HoedtPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marie Vogt and Merel Hoedt have met 1 time since 2026; Marie Vogt leads 1–0. Across all meetings Vogt has taken 2 sets to Hoedt's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marie Vogt won at Haag 2 ITF (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vogt | Hoedt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marie Vogt | Merel Hoedt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 37/45 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 16/62 | 28% | 13/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 23/33 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 40/43 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 74% | 17/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vogt 1, Hoedt 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vogt
👑 The Complete Package
Hoedt
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marie Vogt.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 5, 2026
Haag 2 ITF
C Clay
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vogt | Hoedt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marie Vogt | Merel Hoedt | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vogt | Hoedt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | -3.2% | -14.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | -1.68u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vogt | Hoedt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR | POR → FRA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Vogt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Hoedt's 50%).
| Opponent | Vogt | Hoedt |
|---|---|---|
| Lisa Claeys | W 61 75 | L 16 46 |
| Alyssa Reguer | W 61 75 | W 75 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pia Lovric
W35 Trieste · 1st Round
Aug 24
Valentina Steiner
W35 Erwitte · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Polina Skliar
W35 Erwitte · 1st Round
Aug 19
Laima Vladson
W50 Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Berfu Cengiz
W50 Hamburg · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W50 Hamburg · 1st Round
Aug 12
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W35 Gentofte · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Ann Akasha Ceuca
W35 Gentofte · 1st Round
Jul 22
Vivian Wolff
W50 Prague · 1st Round
Aug 18
Anna Siskova
W50 Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Anastasia Zolotareva
W50 Hamburg · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Johanne Christine Svendsen
W35 Gentofte · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz
W35 Gentofte · 1st Round
Jul 21
Marie Vogt
Haag 2 ITF
Jul 5
Dune Vaissaud
W35 Amstelveen · 1st Round
Jun 29
Charlotte Narti
W15 Alkmaar · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–62 matches
| Metric | Vogt | Hoedt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 48% |
| Sets won | 70% | 50% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vogt | Hoedt |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vogt | Hoedt |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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