Marie Mattel vs Valeriya StrakhovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Marie Mattel
Unranked · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
5w31 meeting · sets 2–1
🇺🇦Valeriya Strakhova
#504 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4Marie Mattel and Valeriya Strakhova have met 1 time since 2026; Marie Mattel leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mattel has taken 2 sets to Strakhova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Marie Mattel won at W50 Knokke-Heist (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mattel | Strakhova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marie Mattel | Valeriya Strakhova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 10/15 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 7/28 | 36% | 19/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 6/10 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 7/16 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 20% | 1/5 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 12/13 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mattel 0, Strakhova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mattel
🏹 Frontrunner
Strakhova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,750 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marie Mattel.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 26, 2026
W50 Knokke-Heist
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mattel | Strakhova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marie Mattel | Valeriya Strakhova | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mattel | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.69 |
| ROI % | +0.4% | -18.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.04u | -3.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mattel | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA → TUR → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Strakhova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mattel's 0%).
| Opponent | Mattel | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| Ailish Garcia Fernandez | L 46 36 | L 26 76 36 |
| Mio Mushika | L 26 36 | W 36 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ailish Garcia Fernandez
W35 Seville · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Lian Tran
W15 Dijon · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Francesca Parcelli
W15 Dijon · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Sophia Biolay
W15 Dijon · 1st Round
Sep 8
Emma Lene
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 1st Round
Sep 2
Margaux Maquet
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Victoire Lansaman
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Luna Vujovic
W50 Knokke-Heist · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Maria Lourdes Carle
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Anita Sahdiieva
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alina Shcherbinina
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 23
Maria Lourdes Carle
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chloe Paquet
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 1st Round
Sep 2
Seda Baslilar
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Unknown Player
W35 Verbier · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Luisa Hrda
W35 Verbier · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–53 matches
| Metric | Mattel | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 43% |
| Sets won | 51% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mattel | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W50 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mattel | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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