Marie Bouzkova vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Marie Bouzkova
#26 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–4
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Marie Bouzkova and Tatjana Maria have met 4 times since 2017; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Nurnberg in 2017 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Bouzkova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bouzkova has taken 5 sets to Maria's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marie Bouzkova won at Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bouzkova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marie Bouzkova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 26/31 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 10/52 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 21/32 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bouzkova 2, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bouzkova
👑 The Complete Package
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 19, 2026
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Sep 24, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 24, 2020
Abierto Mexicano TELCEL - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
May 24, 2017
Nurnberg
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bouzkova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marie Bouzkova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.50u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bouzkova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Maria's 60%).
| Opponent | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W 76 76 | L 16 26 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 62 64 | W 61 60 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 62 75 | L 46 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 61 36 62 | W 60 63 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 62 46 67 | W 63 75 |
| Elise Mertens | L 46 46 | L 57 06 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 26 57 | W 64 63 |
| Emma Navarro | W 76 46 62 | L 57 16 |
| Magda Linette | W 75 75 | W 60 63 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 62 62 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lucrezia Stefanini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tereza Valentova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Carol Young Suh Lee
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 20
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–60 matches
| Metric | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 50% |
| Sets won | 59% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.