Marie Bouzkova vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Marie Bouzkova
#28 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–4
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleMarie Bouzkova and Tatjana Maria have met 4 times since 2017; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Nurnberg in 2017 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Bouzkova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bouzkova has taken 5 sets to Maria's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marie Bouzkova won at Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bouzkova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marie Bouzkova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 25/30 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 11/52 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 21/33 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 6/17 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bouzkova 2, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bouzkova
🏹 Frontrunner
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 19, 2026
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Sep 24, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 24, 2020
Abierto Mexicano TELCEL - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
May 24, 2017
Nurnberg
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bouzkova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marie Bouzkova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -15.4% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.84u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | — |
| Route | ROU → CZE | UKR → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bouzkova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Maria's 50%).
| Opponent | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Birrell | W 64 64 | L 46 63 57 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 67 57 | L 76 36 26 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 62 62 | W 64 63 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 76 | L 16 26 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 62 64 | W 61 60 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 62 75 | L 46 46 |
| Talia Gibson | W 61 36 62 | W 60 63 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 62 46 67 | W 63 75 |
| Elise Mertens | L 46 46 | L 57 06 |
| Yulia Putintseva | L 46 67 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elsa Jacquemot
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–60 matches
| Metric | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 53% |
| Sets won | 57% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bouzkova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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