Mariano Kestelboim vs Natan RodriguesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Kestelboim and Natan Rodrigues have met 1 time since 2026; Natan Rodrigues leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Natan Rodrigues won at Campinas Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kestelboim | Rodrigues | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Kestelboim | Natan Rodrigues | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 25% | 1/4 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 4/11 | 10% | 3/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 15/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 25% | 1/4 | 87% | 13/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kestelboim
⚔️ The Gladiator
Rodrigues
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Natan Rodrigues.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 5, 2026
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kestelboim | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.22 | - |
| ROI % | -100.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kestelboim | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ARG | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kestelboim has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Rodrigues's 0%).
| Opponent | Kestelboim | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Andrade | W 63 67 61 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Fermin Tenti
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Iliyan Radulov
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Sumit Nagal
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Matias Soto
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Natan Rodrigues
Campinas Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Juan Pablo Varillas
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 17
Juan Bautista Torres
Tigre 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 17
Facundo Mena
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 27
Cristian Felipe Sanchez Rojas
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
CIT Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Millen Hurrion
M25 Nottingham · 1st Round
May 6
Finn Murgett
M25 Nottingham · 1st Round
Apr 29
Jose Pereira
Copa Internacional de Tenis · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 6
Mariano Kestelboim
Campinas Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Franco Ribero
Sao Leopoldo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 29
Nicolas Villalon
Bucaramanga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–30 matches
| Metric | Kestelboim | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 53% |
| Sets won | 35% | 51% |
| Games won | 45% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kestelboim | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kestelboim | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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