Mariano Dedura-Palomero vs Niels McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Mariano Dedura-Palomero
#2080 · 20 yrs · R
7w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇩🇪Niels McDonald
#490 · 18 yrs · R
Mariano Dedura-Palomero and Niels McDonald have met 1 time since 2026; Niels McDonald leads 1–0. Across all meetings Dedura-Palomero has taken 0 sets to McDonald's 2. Their most recent meeting: Niels McDonald won at M15 Rosbach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dedura-Palomero | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Dedura-Palomero | Niels McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 2/5 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 4/11 | 35% | 17/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 1/2 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 20% | 1/5 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 3/3 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dedura-Palomero 0, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dedura-Palomero
🧱 The Wall
McDonald
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
🧱 The Wall vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 122 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
M15 Rosbach
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dedura-Palomero | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariano Dedura-Palomero | Niels McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 93% | 26/28 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 32% | 9/28 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 14% | 4/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dedura-Palomero | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 18–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.54 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -21.9% | +24.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.53u | +5.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dedura-Palomero | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 545 mi · 877 km |
| Route | — | GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Dedura-Palomero and McDonald posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Dedura-Palomero | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz Hewitt | W 26 63 63 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lewie Lane
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 10
Lasse Poertner
M25 Kassel · 1st Round
Jul 8
Dalibor Svrcina
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 8
Clement Tabur
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 7
Francisco Comesana
Milan challenger
Jul 1
Miguel Damas
Milan challenger
Jun 29
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Eduardo Ribeiro
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Mika Petkovic
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Jerome Kym
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jurij Rodionov
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–49 matches
| Metric | Dedura-Palomero | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 53% |
| Sets won | 42% | 51% |
| Games won | 46% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dedura-Palomero | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dedura-Palomero | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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