Maria Toma vs Xinyu GaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maria Toma and Xinyu Gao have met 1 time since 2026; Xinyu Gao leads 1–0. Across all meetings Toma has taken 0 sets to Gao's 2. Their most recent meeting: Xinyu Gao won at W75 Ourense (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Toma | Gao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Toma | Xinyu Gao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 17/17 | 80% | 24/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 14% | 5/35 | 29% | 14/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 83% | 10/12 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 82% | 9/11 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 69% | 24/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Toma 0, Gao 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Toma
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gao
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Maria Toma and Xinyu Gao are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 14,668 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
W75 Ourense
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Toma | Gao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Toma | Xinyu Gao | ||
| 1 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Toma | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 4.98 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -12.1% | -20.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.21u | -3.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Toma | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 9 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP | ESP → FRA → ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gao has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Toma's 0%).
| Opponent | Toma | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| Julia Stusek | L 26 16 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinyu Gao
W75 Ourense · 1st Round
Aug 5
Neus Torner Sensano
W50 Horb · 1st Round
Jul 22
Michaela Bayerlova
Vaihingen ITF
Jun 29
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W35 Tarvisio · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Diletta Cherubini
W35 Tarvisio · 1st Round
Jun 23
Khrystyna Vozniak
Tarvisio ITF
Jun 22
Cecilia Manitto
Tarvisio ITF
Jun 21
Irina Balus
W35 San Gregorio · 1st Round
Jun 16
Barbora Palicova
W75 Bytom · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W75 Bytom · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Zongyu Li
W75 Bytom · 1st Round
Aug 26
Jana Kovackova
W50 Prague · Final
Aug 22
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
W50 Prague · Semifinals
Aug 21
Mayuka Aikawa
W50 Prague · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Julia Adams
W50 Prague · 1st Round
Aug 18
Britt Du Pree
W75 Ourense · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–49 matches
| Metric | Toma | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 61% |
| Sets won | 52% | 61% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Toma | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Toma | Gao |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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