Maria Toma vs Matilde PaolettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maria Toma and Matilde Paoletti have met 1 time since 2026; Matilde Paoletti leads 1–0. Across all meetings Toma has taken 0 sets to Paoletti's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matilde Paoletti won at W35 Santa Margherita di Pula (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Toma | Paoletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Toma | Matilde Paoletti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 21/23 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 12/48 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 8/12 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 85% | 11/13 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 56% | 9/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Toma 0, Paoletti 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Toma
🛡️ The Spoiler
Paoletti
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 64% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,239 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matilde Paoletti.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 16, 2026
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Toma | Paoletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Toma | Matilde Paoletti | ||
| 1 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 3 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Toma | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 4.34 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | -26.8% | -7.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.21u | -1.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Toma | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → SRB → MNE | GER → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Toma and Paoletti posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Toma | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandra Mazzola | L 16 61 16 | L 46 61 67 |
| Diletta Cherubini | W 76 76 | W 61 60 |
| Ekaterina Perelygina | W 63 75 | W 62 63 |
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | L 26 36 | L 63 57 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Agnese Gentili
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Benedetta Ortenzi
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Aneta Laboutkova
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Matilde Paoletti
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 16
Iveta Dapkute
W50 Evora · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W50 Leiria · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Amelia Rajecki
W50 Leiria · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Alena Kovackova
W50 Oldenzaal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Eva Bennemann
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Francesca Gandolfi
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alisa Oktiabreva
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Daria Yesypchuk
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Maria Toma
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 16
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W35 Reus · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Diletta Cherubini
W35 Reus · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–48 matches
| Metric | Toma | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 61% |
| Sets won | 52% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Toma | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Toma | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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