Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca vs Rachael SmithPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca and Rachael Smith have met 1 time since 2026; Rachael Smith leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rocca has taken 0 sets to Smith's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rachael Smith won at W75 Lexington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sofia Madrid Rocca | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca | Rachael Smith | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 5/5 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 10% | 1/10 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 1/2 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 14% | 1/7 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 0% | 0/2 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 5/5 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sofia Madrid Rocca 0, Smith 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rocca
🧱 The Wall
Smith
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🧱 The Wall archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 737 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca.
The Wall players often use elite returner and low unforced errors to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
W75 Lexington
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rocca | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.21 | 7.59 |
| ROI % | -46.1% | -48.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.92u | -0.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rocca | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → RSA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rocca and Smith posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Rocca | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Zaira Abigail Martinez | W 60 61 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso
W15 Cipolletti · 1st Round
Oct 8
Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso
W15 Trelew · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Zaira Abigail Martinez
W15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 29
Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez
W15 Pilar · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Gabriela Kawano Cho
W15 Pilar · 1st Round
Sep 9
Finchelstein Sofia
W15 Pilar · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 8
Jessica Marmorstein
W15 Pilar · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Camila Bertolini
W15 Pilar · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Savannah Broadus
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca
W75 Lexington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Elena Ecker
W75 Lexington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Ana Grubor
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 14
Mirka Delaney
W75 Granby · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Maya Iacoban
W75 Granby · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Carolina Bohrer Martins
W50 Pelham · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 19
Gresi Bajri
W50 Pelham · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–10 matches
| Metric | Rocca | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 30% |
| Sets won | 52% | 32% |
| Games won | 53% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rocca | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rocca | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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