Maria Sara Popa vs Mathilde LolliaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇴Maria Sara Popa
#413 · 20 yrs · Left-Handed
Title1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇫🇷Mathilde Lollia
#624 · 26 yrs
7wMaria Sara Popa and Mathilde Lollia have met 1 time since 2026; Maria Sara Popa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Popa has taken 2 sets to Lollia's 1. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sara Popa won at W35 Nice (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sara Popa | Lollia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sara Popa | Mathilde Lollia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 32/42 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 18/64 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 12/18 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 14/17 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 38/41 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 32/41 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sara Popa 0, Lollia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popa
⚔️ The Gladiator
Lollia
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,723 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 11, 2026
W35 Nice
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popa | Lollia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sara Popa | Mathilde Lollia | ||
| 1 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popa | Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 3.38 |
| ROI % | +5.8% | -14.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.87u | -1.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popa | Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | AUT → LUX → TUN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Popa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Lollia's 0%).
| Opponent | Popa | Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandra Mazzola | L 67 67 | L 57 36 |
| Yelyzaveta Kotliar | W 76 64 | L 63 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Simona Ogescu
W15 Brasov · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Rachel Gailis
W15 Brasov · 1st Round
Aug 26
Adrienn Nagy
W35 Bistrita · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Oana Georgeta Simion
W35 Bistrita · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Stefania Bojica
W35 Bistrita · 1st Round
Aug 19
Ida Wobker
W15 Bucharest · Final
Aug 16
Diana Ioana Simionescu
W15 Bucharest · Semifinals
Aug 15
Angelica Raggi
W15 Bucharest · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Nastasja Schunk
W50 Darmstadt · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anouck Vrancken Peeters
W50 Darmstadt · 1st Round
Jul 15
Laetitia Pulchartova
Darmstadt ITF
Jul 14
Christina Bednarczyk
Darmstadt ITF
Jul 13
Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Aix-les-Bains · 1st Round
Jun 30
Julia Riera
W75 Blois · 1st Round
Jun 16
Maria Sara Popa
W35 Nice · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Marine Szostak
W35 Nice · 1st Round
Jun 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–64 matches
| Metric | Popa | Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 46% |
| Sets won | 63% | 47% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popa | Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popa | Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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