Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Mingge XuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Maria Martinez Vaquero
#500 · 24 yrs
2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇬🇧Mingge Xu
#339 · 18 yrs · Right-Handed
6Maria Martinez Vaquero and Mingge Xu have met 2 times since 2025; Mingge Xu leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at W50 Evora 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Xu leads 2–0. Xu has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Vaquero has taken 1 sets to Xu's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mingge Xu won at W50 Selva Gardena 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Martinez Vaquero | Xu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Martinez Vaquero | Mingge Xu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 21/26 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 16/59 | 28% | 12/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 14/28 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 25/36 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 21/36 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Martinez Vaquero 0, Xu 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vaquero
🪃 Counterpuncher
Xu
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mingge Xu.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Dec 3, 2025
W50 Selva Gardena 1
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 9, 2025
W50 Evora 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vaquero | Xu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Martinez Vaquero | Mingge Xu | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vaquero | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–12 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.94 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -56.9% | -71.4% |
| Units P/L | -9.67u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vaquero | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 5 | 4 |
| Events | 5 | 4 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GEO → EGY → ECU → TUN → SUI | POL → POR → TUR → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Xu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Vaquero's 33%).
| Opponent | Vaquero | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| Susan Bandecchi | L 46 57 | L 16 46 |
| Aran Teixido Garcia | L 62 46 36 | W 62 60 |
| Vittoria Paganetti | W 62 64 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mathilde Lollia
Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Britt Du Pree
W35 Lagos · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Milana Ivantsiv
W35 Lagos · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Laia Petretic
W35 Lagos · 1st Round
Oct 7
Naiktha Bains
W75 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Sep 30
Sahaja Yamalapalli
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Susan Bandecchi
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 1st Round
Sep 15
Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Evora · 1st Round
Sep 9
Aspen Schuman
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 29
Yu Shan
W15 Maanshan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Guyu Xu
W15 Maanshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Susan Bandecchi
W35 Aldershot · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Edie Griffiths
W35 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Mary Lewis
W35 Aldershot · 1st Round
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–59 matches
| Metric | Vaquero | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 44% |
| Sets won | 47% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vaquero | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W50 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vaquero | Xu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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