Maria Lourdes Carle vs Valeriya StrakhovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Maria Lourdes Carle
#238 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇺🇦Valeriya Strakhova
#504 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4Maria Lourdes Carle and Valeriya Strakhova have met 3 times since 2023; Maria Lourdes Carle leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Montevideo Open - Uruguay in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Carle leads 2–0. Carle has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Carle has taken 6 sets to Strakhova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Maria Lourdes Carle won at W50 Lexington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lourdes Carle | Strakhova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Lourdes Carle | Valeriya Strakhova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 12/25 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 13/29 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 26/54 | 36% | 19/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 20% | 4/20 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lourdes Carle 2, Strakhova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carle
⚔️ The Gladiator
Strakhova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2026
W50 Lexington
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 3, 2026
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
C Clay · 2nd Round
Dec 6, 2023
Montevideo Open - Uruguay
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carle | Strakhova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Lourdes Carle | Valeriya Strakhova | ||
| 1 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carle | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.69 |
| ROI % | -48.2% | -18.2% |
| Units P/L | -5.78u | -3.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carle | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → SRB → UKR | USA → TUR → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carle has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Strakhova's 0%).
| Opponent | Carle | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| Tiphanie Lemaitre | W | L 26 76 36 |
| Lucie Havlickova | W 75 57 64 | L 63 46 36 |
| Valentina Steiner | W 60 61 | L 76 36 46 |
| Laura Pigossi | W 62 61 | L 36 16 |
| Miriam Bianca Bulgaru | L 67 36 | L 26 26 |
| Martina Capurro Taborda | L 36 63 26 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Nuria Brancaccio
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rositsa Dencheva
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Eva Vedder
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Gina Feistel
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Federica Urgesi
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Maria Lourdes Carle
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Anita Sahdiieva
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alina Shcherbinina
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 23
Maria Lourdes Carle
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chloe Paquet
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 1st Round
Sep 2
Seda Baslilar
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Unknown Player
W35 Verbier · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Luisa Hrda
W35 Verbier · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–54 matches
| Metric | Carle | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 43% |
| Sets won | 47% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carle | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W50 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carle | Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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