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Head-to-Head

Maria Lourdes Carle vs Nuria BrancaccioPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Maria Lourdes Carle

🇦🇷Maria Lourdes Carle

#213 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

1–0

1 meeting · sets 2–1

NB

🇮🇹Nuria Brancaccio

#185 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed

Maria Lourdes Carle and Nuria Brancaccio have met 1 time since 2025; Maria Lourdes Carle leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carle has taken 2 sets to Brancaccio's 1. Their most recent meeting: Maria Lourdes Carle won at Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca (2025).

Upcoming match

Tournament
Tolentino Open - Tolentino
Level
WTA 125
Round
1st Round
Surface
Clay
Date & time
September 22 · 4:00 AM ET

Book odds

Nuria Brancaccio1.831.52
Maria Lourdes Carle1.882.41

Set spread

Brancaccio -1.52.26
Lourdes Carle +1.51.55

Game spread

Brancaccio -2.51.79
Lourdes Carle +2.51.91
BrancaccioClay-court specialist (91%)Lourdes CarleClay-court specialist (81%)

Record at prices like this

Nuria Brancaccio1.52implies 69%won 56%−13 pts

At 1.52 or shorter, Nuria Brancaccio has won 14 of 25 (56%). The price implied 69%, so Nuria Brancaccio has fallen 13 points short of it.

Maria Lourdes Carle2.41implies 33%won 33%level

At 2.41 or longer, Maria Lourdes Carle has won 10 of 30 (33%). That is level with the 33% the price implied.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Maria Lourdes Carle and Nuria Brancaccio meet next at the Tolentino Open - Tolentino on September 22 on clay.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorLourdes CarleBrancaccio
Wins in straight sets46%67%
Wins a set when losing38%50%
Goes to a deciding set45%42%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite17%42%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog75%64%
Tiebreak sets won50%42%
Wins after taking set 181%71%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 157%57%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lourdes Carle 0, Brancaccio 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Carle

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter
vs

Brancaccio

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 8,134 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

1 career meeting, newest first

Oct 7, 2025

Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca

C Clay · 2nd Round

765
16
75
Carle

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeCarleBrancaccio
1 or more53%82%
3 or more11%18%
5 or more0%0%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricCarleBrancaccio
W-L8–710–8
Avg odds1.901.82
ROI %-12.1%-12.3%
Units P/L-1.81u-2.22u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricCarleBrancaccio
Countries43
Events43
Matches84
Distance—4,494 mi · 7,233 km
RouteNED → CZE → USA → ESPNED → TUN → DEN

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Carle and Brancaccio posted a 50% win rate.

OpponentCarleBrancaccio
Ekaterine Gorgodze
L
57
76
46
L
64
26
67
Eva Vedder
W
61
62
W
61
62
Barbora Palicova
W
06
61
63
L
57
36
Anhelina Kalinina
L
16
36
L
06
26
Martina Colmegna
L
26
26
W
62
62
Jessica Pieri
W
06
61
61
W
62
62
Kathinka Von Deichmann
W
63
26
64
W
75
61
Anna Blinkova
L
46
67
L
76
57
46
Lisa Pigato
L
46
36
W
62
75
Tiphanie Lemaitre
W
L
63
26
26

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Carle
LLWWLWWL
L

Ekaterine Gorgodze

Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round

57
762
46

Sep 15

L

Rositsa Dencheva

ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · Quarterfinals

57
26

Sep 11

W

Eva Vedder

ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 2nd Round

61
62

Sep 10

W

Gina Feistel

ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round

57
75
761

Sep 8

L

Federica Urgesi

W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · Quarterfinals

57
64
36

Sep 4

W

Valeriya Strakhova

W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 2nd Round

26
63
62

Sep 3

W

Mathilde Lollia

W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 1st Round

46
64
75

Sep 2

L

Vendula Valdmannova

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

36
36

Aug 26

Brancaccio
LLWLLWWL
L

Despina Papamichail

BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round

36
46

Sep 14

L

Dalma Galfi

Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 2nd Round

64
16
667

Sep 9

W

Francesca Curmi

Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round

64
75

Sep 7

L

Francesca Jones

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

36
46

Aug 25

L

Barbora Palicova

W75 Hechingen · Semifinals

57
36

Aug 1

W

Nastasja Schunk

W75 Hechingen · Quarterfinals

63
36
61

Jul 31

W

Cagla Buyukakcay

W75 Hechingen · 1st Round

60
75

Jul 29

L

Mia Ristic

W75 Cordenons · Final

36
36

Jul 25

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–55 matches

MetricCarleBrancaccio
Matches won47%46%
Sets won47%49%
Games won49%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageCarleBrancaccio
WTA 12510

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceCarleBrancaccio
Clay10

Maria Lourdes Carle vs Nuria Brancaccio FAQ

Maria Lourdes Carle leads the head-to-head 1–0 over 1 meetings.