Maria Andrienko vs Talia Neilson GatenbyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Maria Andrienko
Unranked · 22 yrs
Title32 meetings · sets 4–1
🇬🇧Talia Neilson Gatenby
Unranked · 20 yrs
8wMaria Andrienko and Talia Neilson Gatenby have met 2 times since 2026; Maria Andrienko leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at W15 Monastir in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Andrienko leads 2–0. Andrienko has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Andrienko has taken 4 sets to Gatenby's 1. Their most recent meeting: Maria Andrienko won at W15 Monastir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Andrienko | Neilson Gatenby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Andrienko | Talia Neilson Gatenby | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 4/7 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 9/23 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 5/8 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 2/2 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 14/15 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Andrienko 1, Neilson Gatenby 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Andrienko
⚔️ The Gladiator
Gatenby
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Talia Neilson Gatenby.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
W15 Monastir
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 24, 2026
W15 Monastir
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Andrienko | Gatenby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Andrienko | Talia Neilson Gatenby | ||
| 1 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 100% | 2/2 |
| 3 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/2 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Andrienko | Gatenby |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–7 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +26.1% | -28.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.47u | -1.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Andrienko | Gatenby |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | EGY → POR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federica Sacco
W35 Trieste · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Carolina Dibenedetto
W35 Trieste · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lisa Claeys
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet · Final
Aug 23
Romane Longueville
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet · Semifinals
Aug 22
Sevil Yuldasheva
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet · 1st Round
Aug 19
Charlotte Cora--Bruneton
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Enola Chiesa
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 1st Round
Jul 21
Justine Bretnacher
Monastir 43 ITF
Jul 6
Gloria Pop
Monastir 43 ITF
Jul 5
Maria Andrienko
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 1
Lenka Munzarova
Monastir 42 ITF
Jun 30
Maria Andrienko
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 24
Isabella De Micco Padula
Monastir 41 ITF
Jun 23
Carlota Corte
Monastir 41 ITF
Jun 22
Pilar Becerra
Monastir 41 ITF
Jun 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–23 matches
| Metric | Andrienko | Gatenby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 63% |
| Sets won | 65% | 63% |
| Games won | 55% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Andrienko | Gatenby |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Andrienko | Gatenby |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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