Marco Cecchinato vs Nick HardtPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marco Cecchinato and Nick Hardt have met 2 times since 2026; Marco Cecchinato leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Todi Challenger in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Cecchinato leads 2–0. Cecchinato has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cecchinato has taken 4 sets to Hardt's 1. Their most recent meeting: Marco Cecchinato won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cecchinato | Hardt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marco Cecchinato | Nick Hardt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 34/44 | 61% | 28/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 14/31 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 24/75 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 22/39 | 53% | 23/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 20/31 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 38/48 | 89% | 40/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 34/48 | 62% | 28/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cecchinato 1, Hardt 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cecchinato
🏹 Frontrunner
Hardt
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marco Cecchinato.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
Porto Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 10, 2026
Todi Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cecchinato | Hardt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marco Cecchinato | Nick Hardt | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.24 |
| ROI % | -11.9% | -53.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.78u | -3.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cecchinato has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Hardt's 25%).
| Opponent | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Kicker | L 46 64 26 | L 26 57 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 63 67 61 | W 62 76 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | W 46 63 64 | L 67 67 |
| Mariano Navone | L 63 06 46 | L 76 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Marvin Moeller
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Henri Squire
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Laslo Djere
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alejandro Moro Canas
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Nick Hardt
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Vilius Gaubas
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Gonzalo Villanueva
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Marco Cecchinato
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kai Wehnelt
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Oleksii Krutykh
Prague Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Jakub Filip
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Marco Cecchinato
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–75 matches
| Metric | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 77% |
| Sets won | 59% | 68% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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