Marco Cecchinato vs Nick HardtPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marco Cecchinato and Nick Hardt have met 1 time since 2026; Marco Cecchinato leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cecchinato has taken 2 sets to Hardt's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marco Cecchinato won at Todi Challenger (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Porto Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- August 31 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.23 or shorter, Marco Cecchinato has won 39 of 42 matches, 93% against a fair-price expectation of 82%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Marco Cecchinato and Nick Hardt meet next at the Porto Challenger on August 31 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cecchinato | Hardt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marco Cecchinato | Nick Hardt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 33/43 | 63% | 32/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 15/31 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 25/74 | 36% | 23/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 21/37 | 52% | 24/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 22/32 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 16/31 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 38/48 | 92% | 45/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 33/48 | 65% | 32/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cecchinato 1, Hardt 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cecchinato
🏹 Frontrunner
Hardt
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 329 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marco Cecchinato.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 10, 2026
Todi Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cecchinato | Hardt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marco Cecchinato | Nick Hardt | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 71% | 15/21 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -5.5% | -6.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.09u | -1.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | ITA | ITA → CZE → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cecchinato has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Hardt's 20%).
| Opponent | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Kicker | L 46 64 26 | L 26 57 |
| Arklon Huertas Del Pino | W 64 76 | L 67 67 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 63 67 61 | W 62 76 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | W 46 63 64 | L 67 67 |
| Mariano Navone | L 63 06 46 | L 76 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Juan Bautista Torres
Todi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Francesco Forti
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Nick Hardt
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Alexandre Muller
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Franco Agamenone
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Umag
Jul 12
Kai Wehnelt
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Oleksii Krutykh
Prague Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Jakub Filip
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Marco Cecchinato
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 9
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Wilson Leite
Piracicaba Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–74 matches
| Metric | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 80% |
| Sets won | 58% | 70% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cecchinato | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |