Marcello Serafini vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Marcello Serafini
#919 · 23 yrs · R
3w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇮🇹Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
#1163 · 20 yrs
5Marcello Serafini and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini have met 1 time since 2026; Marcello Serafini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Serafini has taken 2 sets to Mordini's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marcello Serafini won at M25 Fano (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Serafini | Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marcello Serafini | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 41% | 7/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 14/34 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 10/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 7/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Serafini 1, Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Serafini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Mordini
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 122 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 3, 2026
M25 Fano
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Serafini | Mordini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marcello Serafini | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Serafini | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +46.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +7.82u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Serafini | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA | ITA → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Serafini and Mordini posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Serafini | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Yacoub Makzoume | W 75 36 64 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Massimo Giunta
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Peter Buldorini
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 3
John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Wels · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexander Gschiel
M15 Wels · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pierluigi Basile
M15 Gubbio · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Jonas Gundacker
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 26
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 19
Marcello Serafini
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matthias Ujvary
M15 Wels · 1st Round
Jul 29
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
M15 Segrate · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Filippo Catalano
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 21
Filippo Catalano
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 21
Petros Tsitsipas
M15 Lodz · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–34 matches
| Metric | Serafini | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 18% |
| Sets won | 46% | 26% |
| Games won | 49% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Serafini | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Serafini | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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