Marcel Zielinski vs Matt PonchetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marcel Zielinski and Matt Ponchet have met 1 time since 2026; Marcel Zielinski leads 1–0. Across all meetings Zielinski has taken 2 sets to Ponchet's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marcel Zielinski won at Tampere Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zielinski | Ponchet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marcel Zielinski | Matt Ponchet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 25/47 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 6/26 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 28/73 | 29% | 12/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 16/25 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 36/41 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 25/41 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zielinski 1, Ponchet 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zielinski
⚔️ The Gladiator
Ponchet
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matt Ponchet.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 19, 2026
Tampere Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zielinski | Ponchet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marcel Zielinski | Matt Ponchet | ||
| 1 or more | 73% | 16/22 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 8/22 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zielinski | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 2.99 |
| ROI % | -5.7% | -65.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.37u | -4.61u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ponchet has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Zielinski's 33%).
| Opponent | Zielinski | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Fischer | W 61 60 | W 76 64 |
| Adan Freire Da Silva | L 16 67 | W 64 75 |
| Adan Freire Da Silva | L 16 67 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lukas Pokorny
M25 Pardubice · 1st Round
Sep 23
Kai Wehnelt
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Liam Gavrielides
M25 Meerbusch · 1st Round
Sep 2
Heorhii Shylov
M15 Vienna · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Alen Mujakic
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Janis Graski
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 25
Nikita Mashtakov
M15 Mistelbach · Semifinals
Aug 22
Theodore Dean
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Mickael Kaouk
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round
Sep 8
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Marcus Walters
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Conor Gannon
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Ammar Elamin
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Melvin Kumar
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcel Zielinski
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Gianluca Carlini
M25 Roda de Bara · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–73 matches
| Metric | Zielinski | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 54% |
| Sets won | 57% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zielinski | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zielinski | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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