Manuel Mazza vs Marcello SerafiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Manuel Mazza and Marcello Serafini have met 2 times since 2026; Marcello Serafini leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Milano in 2026 on clay. Serafini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mazza has taken 2 sets to Serafini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marcello Serafini won at Futures 2026 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mazza | Serafini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Manuel Mazza | Marcello Serafini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 41% | 14/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mazza 0, Serafini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mazza
🪃 Counterpuncher
Serafini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Manuel Mazza.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Jun 16, 2026
M25 Milano
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mazza | Serafini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Manuel Mazza | Marcello Serafini | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mazza | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | -69.2% | +46.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.46u | +7.82u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mazza | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mazza has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Serafini's 33%).
| Opponent | Mazza | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Oradini | L 76 46 46 | L 57 16 |
| Andrea Zanini | W 63 61 | W 75 36 64 |
| Filippo Mazzola | W 62 62 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniele Rapagnetta
M25 Lesa · 2nd Round
Aug 22
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 18
Michel Hopp
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Norbert Gombos
Milan challenger
Jun 28
Marcello Serafini
Futures 2026
Jun 16
Marcello Serafini
M25 Milano · 1st Round
Jun 16
Carlos Sanchez Jover
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Massimo Giunta
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Peter Buldorini
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 3
John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Wels · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexander Gschiel
M15 Wels · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pierluigi Basile
M15 Gubbio · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–47 matches
| Metric | Mazza | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 50% |
| Sets won | 53% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mazza | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mazza | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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