Manuel Guinard vs Michael GeertsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Manuel Guinard and Michael Geerts have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Cherbourg in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Guinard leads 2–1. Guinard has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Guinard has taken 5 sets to Geerts's 4. Their most recent meeting: Manuel Guinard won at Antwerp (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guinard | Geerts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Manuel Guinard | Michael Geerts | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 73% | 22/30 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 100% | 1/1 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 54% | 15/28 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 65% | 13/20 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/1 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/1 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guinard 2, Geerts 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Guinard
💥 Big Hitter
Geerts
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 13, 2024
Antwerp
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 14, 2024
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 14, 2022
Montechiarugolo - Parma Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 8, 2021
Cherbourg
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Guinard | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.12 |
| ROI % | - | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Guinard | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,712 mi · 2,756 km |
| Route | — | BUL → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Hassan
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Alan Magadan
Cancun · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Gabriele Piraino
Perugia · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Titouan Droguet
Marrakech · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Andres Santamarta Roig
Murcia · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Jan-Lennard Struff
Open 13 Provence - Marseille · 1st Round
Feb 11
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Marseille · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 10
Kamil Majchrzak
Marseille · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 9
Edas Butvilas
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Joao Domingues
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Vladyslav Orlov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Radu Albot
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Billy Blaydes
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–50 matches
| Metric | Guinard | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 60% |
| Sets won | 33% | 59% |
| Games won | 37% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Guinard | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Guinard | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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