Makoto Ochi vs Toshiki KarigyoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Makoto Ochi and Toshiki Karigyo have met 1 time since 2025; Makoto Ochi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ochi has taken 2 sets to Karigyo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Makoto Ochi won at M15 Gimcheon 2 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ochi | Karigyo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Makoto Ochi | Toshiki Karigyo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 9/42 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 5/8 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 11/24 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 50% | 1/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ochi 1, Karigyo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ochi
⚙️ Grinder
Karigyo
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚙️ Grinder archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 318 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Makoto Ochi.
Grinder players often use relentless consistency and deep court positioning to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 25, 2025
M15 Gimcheon 2
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ochi | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.83 | 3.09 |
| ROI % | +17.8% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.78u | +0.15u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ochi | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SRB | CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Ochi and Karigyo posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Ochi | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| Yua Taka | L 36 46 | L 46 46 |
| Wonmin Kim | W 67 64 75 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sean Cuenin
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Drazen Petrovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pietro Pampanin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Kasidit Samrej
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Shu Muto
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Tsung-Hao Huang
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ku Keon Kang
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 5
Yua Taka
M15 Karuizawa · 1st Round
May 27
Yuta Tomida
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round
May 14
Zijiang Yang
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
May 13
Yue Xia
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
May 6
Makoto Ochi
M15 Gimcheon 2 · 1st Round
Nov 25
Dong Ju Kim
M15 Gimcheon 1 · Quarterfinals
Nov 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–42 matches
| Metric | Ochi | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 36% |
| Sets won | 45% | 35% |
| Games won | 47% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ochi | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ochi | Karigyo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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