Makoto Ochi vs Shu MatsuokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Makoto Ochi and Shu Matsuoka have met 1 time since 2026; Shu Matsuoka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ochi has taken 0 sets to Matsuoka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Shu Matsuoka won at Futures 2026 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ochi | Matsuoka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Makoto Ochi | Shu Matsuoka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 9/42 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 5/8 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 11/24 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 15/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ochi 0, Matsuoka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ochi
⚙️ Grinder
Matsuoka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Shu Matsuoka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 8, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ochi | Matsuoka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Makoto Ochi | Shu Matsuoka | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ochi | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.83 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +17.8% | -21.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.78u | -1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ochi | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SRB | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ochi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Matsuoka's 25%).
| Opponent | Ochi | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Zhu | W 76 64 | L 36 36 |
| Wonmin Kim | W 67 64 75 | W 63 63 |
| Tai Leonard Sach | L 36 26 | L 36 57 |
| Tai Sach | L 36 26 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sean Cuenin
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Drazen Petrovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pietro Pampanin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Kasidit Samrej
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Shu Muto
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Marko Mesarovic
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 25
Saki Tange
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Junnosuke Masuda
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Yusuke Kusuhara
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 16
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Renta Tokuda
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Makoto Ochi
Futures 2026
Jun 8
Toshihide Matsui
Futures 2026
Jun 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–42 matches
| Metric | Ochi | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 45% |
| Sets won | 45% | 46% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ochi | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ochi | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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