Makoto Ochi vs Maximus JonesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตMakoto Ochi
#1135 ยท 30 yrs ยท L
2 meetings ยท sets 3โ2
๐น๐ญMaximus Jones
#485 ยท 21 yrs ยท R
8wMakoto Ochi and Maximus Jones have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Nonthaburi 3 in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Ochi has taken 3 sets to Jones's 2. Their most recent meeting: Maximus Jones won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ochi | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Makoto Ochi | Maximus Jones | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 9/42 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 5/8 | 7% | 1/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 11/24 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 15/16 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 40% | 6/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ochi 1, Jones 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ochi
โ๏ธ Grinder
Jones
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
Both Makoto Ochi and Maximus Jones are โ๏ธ Grinder types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 654 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 15, 2023
Nonthaburi 3
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ochi | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Makoto Ochi | Maximus Jones | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ochi | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ6 | 4โ3 |
| Avg odds | 3.83 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +17.8% | -31.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.78u | -2.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ochi | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | SRB | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Ochi and Jones posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Ochi | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Wonmin Kim | W 67 64 75 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sean Cuenin
M25 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Drazen Petrovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Pietro Pampanin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Kasidit Samrej
M15 Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Shu Muto
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Jul 4
Kokoro Isomura
M15 Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Makoto Ochi
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jul 1
Hunter Heck
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jun 17
Jangjun Kim
M15 Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Jun 11
Shunrou Takeshima
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jun 10
Mukund Sasikumar
Bengaluru 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ42 matches
| Metric | Ochi | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 41% |
| Sets won | 45% | 42% |
| Games won | 47% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ochi | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ochi | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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