Maja Chwalinska vs Tania Varela AlvaradoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Maja Chwalinska
#21 · 24 yrs · Left-Handed
31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇪🇨Tania Varela Alvarado
Unranked · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
39wMaja Chwalinska and Tania Varela Alvarado have met 1 time since 2025; Maja Chwalinska leads 1–0. Across all meetings Chwalinska has taken 2 sets to Alvarado's 0. Their most recent meeting: Maja Chwalinska won at Quito Open - Quito (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chwalinska | Varela Alvarado | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maja Chwalinska | Tania Varela Alvarado | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 29/36 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 16/53 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 29/38 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chwalinska 1, Varela Alvarado 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Dec 2, 2025
Quito Open - Quito
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chwalinska | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.52 | - |
| ROI % | -19.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.52u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chwalinska | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Cristina Bucsa
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Magda Linette
Boodles Tennis Challenge · -
Jun 26
Mirra Andreeva
French Open - Paris · Final
Jun 6
Diana Shnaider
French Open - Paris · Semifinals
Jun 4
Maja Chwalinska
Quito Open - Quito · 1st Round
Dec 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–53 matches
| Metric | Chwalinska | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 0% |
| Sets won | 66% | 0% |
| Games won | 59% | 0% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chwalinska | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chwalinska | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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