Maia Ilinca Burcescu vs Sarah Van EmstPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W50 Burgas
- Level
- ITF W50
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 5 · 3:00 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.86 or shorter, Sarah Van Emst has won 9 of 26 (35%). The price implied 55%, so Sarah Van Emst has fallen 20 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Maia Ilinca Burcescu and Sarah Van Emst meet next at the W50 Burgas on October 5 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ilinca Burcescu | Van Emst | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maia Ilinca Burcescu | Sarah Van Emst | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 10/11 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 78% | 7/9 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 8/20 | 40% | 18/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 5/8 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 3/3 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Burcescu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Emst
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Maia Ilinca Burcescu and Sarah Van Emst are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 15,900 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Burcescu and Emst have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Burcescu | Emst | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maia Ilinca Burcescu | Sarah Van Emst | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Burcescu | Emst |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -31.6% | -25.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.53u | -3.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Burcescu | Emst |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → FRA → AUT | ITA → ESP → AUT |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Raya Markova
W50 Burgas · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Tara Wuerth
W15 Varna · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Tara Wuerth
W15 Varna · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Briyana Ivanova
W15 Varna · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anne Schaefer
W15 Constanta · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Sonja Zhenikhova
W15 Constanta · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Georgia Andreea Craciun
W15 Constanta · 1st Round
Sep 23
Diana Ioana Simionescu
W15 Bucharest · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Milana Konovalova
W50 Burgas · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Ilinca Dalina Amariei
W50 Plovdiv · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Petra Konjikusic
W50 Plovdiv · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Elizara Yaneva
W50 Pazardzhik · 1st Round
Sep 15
Clara Burel
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 1st Round
Sep 2
Salma Djoubri
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Tilwith Di Girolami
W75 Koksijde · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Jule Niemeier
W50 Knokke-Heist · Semifinals
Aug 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–45 matches
| Metric | Burcescu | Emst |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 51% |
| Sets won | 60% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |