Magda Linette vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Magda Linette
#78 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Magda Linette and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Merida Open Akron - Merida in 2026 on hard. Across all meetings Linette has taken 2 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Linette | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Magda Linette | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 7/21 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 10% | 2/21 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 16/42 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 4/13 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 12/28 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 14/15 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 7/15 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Linette 1, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Linette
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 6, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 24, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Linette | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Magda Linette | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -34.2% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.42u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Linette has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Maria's 38%).
| Opponent | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | L 36 57 | L 16 26 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 57 64 76 | W 63 75 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 57 57 | L 57 06 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 62 | W 64 62 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 26 61 62 | L 46 63 57 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 06 | L 36 06 |
| Emma Navarro | W 36 63 63 | L 57 16 |
| Venus Williams | W 64 46 62 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mai Hontama
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Mirra Andreeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Maja Chwalinska
Boodles Tennis Challenge · -
Jun 26
Barbora Krejcikova
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–60 matches
| Metric | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 50% |
| Sets won | 44% | 52% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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