Magda Linette vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Magda Linette
#77 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
62 meetings · sets 2–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleMagda Linette and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Merida Open Akron - Merida in 2026 on hard. Across all meetings Linette has taken 2 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Linette | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Magda Linette | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 7/21 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 18/44 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 4/16 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 12/27 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 7/16 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Linette 1, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Linette
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 6, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 24, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Linette | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Magda Linette | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -86.6% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -6.93u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU → CZE | UKR → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Linette has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Maria's 43%).
| Opponent | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 62 26 62 | W 46 61 62 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 57 | L 16 26 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 57 64 76 | W 63 75 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 26 61 62 | L 46 63 57 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 06 | L 36 06 |
| Emma Navarro | W 36 63 63 | L 57 16 |
| Venus Williams | W 64 46 62 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Darya Astakhova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Francesca Jones
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–60 matches
| Metric | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 53% |
| Sets won | 43% | 55% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Linette | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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