Madison Sieg vs Tena LukasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 13 · 7:55 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.72 or shorter, Tena Lukas has won 13 of 19 (68%). The price implied 63%, so Tena Lukas has beaten it by 5 points.
At 1.99 or longer, Madison Sieg has won 5 of 18 (28%). The price implied 38%, so Madison Sieg has fallen 10 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Tena Lukas and Madison Sieg meet in the first round of qualifying at the BBVA Open Internacional in Valencia on September 13, with the draw taking place on clay. Lukas, ranked 405th, comes off a win within the past week. Sieg holds a ranking of 355th and has played three matches in the past two weeks.
The two have no previous meetings. Lukas has won 3 of her last 5 matches, while Sieg has taken just one of her last five; over a longer view, Lukas sits at 60% over ten matches and Sieg at 50%. Both players recently lost to Adrienn Nagy and Aurora Zantedeschi, though Lukas defeated Aneta Laboutkova in a result where Sieg fell short.
On clay, Lukas posts a 55% record in her recent sample, displaying well-rounded play that allows her to construct points and move opponents around the court. Sieg operates as a counterpuncher who thrives on reaction and disruption, with a 50% recent record on the surface. The match will test whether Sieg can remain patient enough to set traps while Lukas maintains the initiative through consistent shot-making and court position.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sieg | Lukas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Sieg | Tena Lukas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 8/28 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 19/62 | 41% | 26/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 17/31 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 15/30 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 25/26 | 79% | 34/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 60% | 26/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sieg
🪃 Counterpuncher
Lukas
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,739 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tena Lukas.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Sieg and Lukas have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sieg | Lukas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Sieg | Tena Lukas | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 5 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sieg | Lukas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–8 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -1.9% | -25.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.41u | -4.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sieg | Lukas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → CZE → TUN | POR → ESP → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Lukas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Sieg's 25%).
| Opponent | Sieg | Lukas |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 46 64 61 | W 60 60 |
| Alicia Herrero Linana | L 67 62 57 | L 76 36 36 |
| Anastasia Tikhonova | W 63 62 | W 63 26 75 |
| Lilli Tagger | L 06 36 | L 46 46 |
| Aurora Zantedeschi | L 26 67 | L 61 06 02 |
| Adrienn Nagy | L 26 46 | L 61 16 46 |
| Aneta Laboutkova | L 36 46 | W 62 62 |
| Luisina Giovannini | L 26 64 67 | L 46 62 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Katerina Tsygourova
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Noelia Manta
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Vivian Wolff
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Hanne Vandewinkel
W100 Landisville · 2nd Round
Aug 8
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 5
Ema Burgic
W100 Landisville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Ankita Raina
W100 Landisville · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Nastasja Schunk
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Aya Akan
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Nastasja Schunk
W50 Oldenzaal · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Joy De Zeeuw
W50 Oldenzaal · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
W50 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Lola Giza
W35 Erwitte · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Leticia Solakov
W35 Erwitte · 1st Round
Aug 19
Eva Bennemann
W75 Hechingen · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–64 matches
| Metric | Sieg | Lukas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 59% |
| Sets won | 53% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |