Maddison Inglis vs Xinxin YaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- China Open - Beijing
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 28 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.72 or shorter, Maddison Inglis has won 5 of 12 (42%). The price implied 60%, so Maddison Inglis has fallen 18 points short of it.
At 2.08 or longer, Xinxin Yao has won 11 of 15 (73%). The price implied 39%, so Xinxin Yao has beaten it by 34 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Maddison Inglis and Xinxin Yao meet next at the China Open - Beijing on September 28 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Inglis | Yao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maddison Inglis | Xinxin Yao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 10/18 | 67% | 30/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 13/36 | 37% | 28/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 5/11 | 48% | 20/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 13/23 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 15/15 | 84% | 37/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 68% | 30/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Inglis
🤖 Servebot
Yao
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,048 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Inglis and Yao have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Inglis | Yao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maddison Inglis | Xinxin Yao | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Inglis | Yao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 7–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +54.2% | -27.7% |
| Units P/L | +3.25u | -4.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Inglis | Yao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 5 |
| Events | 1 | 5 |
| Matches | 0 | 8 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | ITA → CZE → SUI → POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Inglis has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Yao's 25%).
| Opponent | Inglis | Yao |
|---|---|---|
| Miho Kuramochi | L 36 76 36 | W 61 64 |
| Mai Hontama | W 63 64 | L 36 06 |
| Celine Naef | L 26 36 | L 06 26 |
| Eunhye Lee | W 76 63 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Taylah Preston
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Final
Aug 1
Mai Hontama
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Semifinals
Jul 31
Moyuka Uchijima
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Sofia Costoulas
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Greet Minnen
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Lucia Bronzetti
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 23
Sorana Cirstea
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Maya Joint
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Miho Kuramochi
Korea Open - Seoul · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Priscilla Hon
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 19
Wushuang Zheng
W35 Shenyang · 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexandra Shubladze
W50 Guiyang · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Ya Yi Yang
W50 Guiyang · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Sara Saito
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 9
Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round
Sep 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–76 matches
| Metric | Inglis | Yao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 59% |
| Sets won | 48% | 57% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |